Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate a cooling trend in Lucknow driven by advancing southwest monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers, pulling maximum temperatures down from recent peaks near 40°C toward 30–32°C on July 19. This aligns with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those levels, where subtle differences in rainfall timing, humidity, and wind patterns from the Bay of Bengal could determine the exact peak. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, though 2026’s below-normal monsoon activity adds uncertainty to model consensus ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 19. Juli?
30°C 31%
31°C 25%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
31%
31°C
25%
32°C
15%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
5%
30°C 31%
31°C 25%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
31%
31°C
25%
32°C
15%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate a cooling trend in Lucknow driven by advancing southwest monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers, pulling maximum temperatures down from recent peaks near 40°C toward 30–32°C on July 19. This aligns with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those levels, where subtle differences in rainfall timing, humidity, and wind patterns from the Bay of Bengal could determine the exact peak. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, though 2026’s below-normal monsoon activity adds uncertainty to model consensus ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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