PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to persistent southwest monsoon influences, including enhanced cloud cover and scattered showers, as the main driver capping Manila’s peak temperature near 28–30°C on August 8. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating, consistent with typical wet-season climatology where average highs hover around 30°C. Recent regional monitoring shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings to 31°C or above, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are therefore weighting the 29°C bin highest, reflecting the narrow range expected under ongoing monsoonal flow and the absence of intensification signals in official guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 8. August?
29°C 50%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
31°C 3%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
29%
29°C
50%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
29°C 50%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
31°C 3%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$474 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$429 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$513 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,910 Vol.
29%
29°C
$1,071 Vol.
50%
30°C
$958 Vol.
18%
31°C
$995 Vol.
3%
32°C
$403 Vol.
1%
33°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
34°C oder höher
$463 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to persistent southwest monsoon influences, including enhanced cloud cover and scattered showers, as the main driver capping Manila’s peak temperature near 28–30°C on August 8. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating, consistent with typical wet-season climatology where average highs hover around 30°C. Recent regional monitoring shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings to 31°C or above, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are therefore weighting the 29°C bin highest, reflecting the narrow range expected under ongoing monsoonal flow and the absence of intensification signals in official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$8,130Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to persistent southwest monsoon influences, including enhanced cloud cover and scattered showers, as the main driver capping Manila’s peak temperature near 28–30°C on August 8. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating, consistent with typical wet-season climatology where average highs hover around 30°C. Recent regional monitoring shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings to 31°C or above, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are therefore weighting the 29°C bin highest, reflecting the narrow range expected under ongoing monsoonal flow and the absence of intensification signals in official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,130Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to persistent southwest monsoon influences, including enhanced cloud cover and scattered showers, as the main driver capping Manila’s peak temperature near 28–30°C on August 8. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating, consistent with typical wet-season climatology where average highs hover around 30°C. Recent regional monitoring shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings to 31°C or above, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are therefore weighting the 29°C bin highest, reflecting the narrow range expected under ongoing monsoonal flow and the absence of intensification signals in official guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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