**Short-term weather model guidance positions a daily high near 24–25 °C as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on August 11, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C (48.5 %) and 24 °C (26.5 %) contracts.** August climatology at the city’s 2,240 m elevation yields average highs of ~24 °C, with frequent cloud cover and afternoon showers during the peak rainy season limiting daytime maxima and producing a narrow distribution around this baseline. Developing El Niño conditions, with an 80 % likelihood through the season per WMO assessments, favor modestly above-average temperatures across the region, supporting the secondary 26 °C probability (21 %). Official observations at Benito Juárez International Airport will determine resolution, and updated model runs or local CONAGUA guidance over the next 24 hours could refine the implied probabilities before the market closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 11. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 11. August?
25°C 47%
24°C 26%
26°C 19%
23°C 3%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
47%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
1%
25°C 47%
24°C 26%
26°C 19%
23°C 3%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$170 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$160 Vol.
1%
22°C
$160 Vol.
2%
23°C
$78 Vol.
3%
24°C
$361 Vol.
26%
25°C
$1,224 Vol.
47%
26°C
$159 Vol.
19%
27°C
$182 Vol.
3%
28°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$162 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term weather model guidance positions a daily high near 24–25 °C as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on August 11, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C (48.5 %) and 24 °C (26.5 %) contracts.**
August climatology at the city’s 2,240 m elevation yields average highs of ~24 °C, with frequent cloud cover and afternoon showers during the peak rainy season limiting daytime maxima and producing a narrow distribution around this baseline. Developing El Niño conditions, with an 80 % likelihood through the season per WMO assessments, favor modestly above-average temperatures across the region, supporting the secondary 26 °C probability (21 %). Official observations at Benito Juárez International Airport will determine resolution, and updated model runs or local CONAGUA guidance over the next 24 hours could refine the implied probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$3,022Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term weather model guidance positions a daily high near 24–25 °C as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on August 11, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C (48.5 %) and 24 °C (26.5 %) contracts.**
August climatology at the city’s 2,240 m elevation yields average highs of ~24 °C, with frequent cloud cover and afternoon showers during the peak rainy season limiting daytime maxima and producing a narrow distribution around this baseline. Developing El Niño conditions, with an 80 % likelihood through the season per WMO assessments, favor modestly above-average temperatures across the region, supporting the secondary 26 °C probability (21 %). Official observations at Benito Juárez International Airport will determine resolution, and updated model runs or local CONAGUA guidance over the next 24 hours could refine the implied probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,022Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term weather model guidance positions a daily high near 24–25 °C as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on August 11, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C (48.5 %) and 24 °C (26.5 %) contracts.** August climatology at the city’s 2,240 m elevation yields average highs of ~24 °C, with frequent cloud cover and afternoon showers during the peak rainy season limiting daytime maxima and producing a narrow distribution around this baseline. Developing El Niño conditions, with an 80 % likelihood through the season per WMO assessments, favor modestly above-average temperatures across the region, supporting the secondary 26 °C probability (21 %). Official observations at Benito Juárez International Airport will determine resolution, and updated model runs or local CONAGUA guidance over the next 24 hours could refine the implied probabilities before the market closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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