Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on April 22?
55°F or below 100.0%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$167,820 Vol.
$167,820 Vol.
55°F or below
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
55°F or below 100.0%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$167,820 Vol.
$167,820 Vol.
55°F or below
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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