Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 16. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 16. Juli?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$122,255 Vol.
$122,255 Vol.
16. Juli 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$122,255 Vol.
$122,255 Vol.
16. Juli 2026
29°C or below
$7,846 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,745 Vol.
No
31°C
$16,161 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,884 Vol.
No
33°C
$26,931 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$21,251 Vol.
No
35°C
$18,999 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,657 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,315 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,985 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$481 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$122,255Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$122,255Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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