Current NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 24 point to a high near 78°F under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading 78-79°F bin. Late-summer Pacific marine air typically moderates daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 70s, but reduced cloud cover and light offshore flow can add a few degrees, aligning with the clustered 76-81°F outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal diurnal heating potential amid stable atmospheric conditions, while historical August averages near 75°F provide context for why extremes above 82°F remain low-probability. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 24. August?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 23%
80-81°F 23%
74-75°F 7%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 23%
80-81°F 23%
74-75°F 7%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 24 point to a high near 78°F under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market's leading 78-79°F bin. Late-summer Pacific marine air typically moderates daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 70s, but reduced cloud cover and light offshore flow can add a few degrees, aligning with the clustered 76-81°F outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal diurnal heating potential amid stable atmospheric conditions, while historical August averages near 75°F provide context for why extremes above 82°F remain low-probability. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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