Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on June 4?
26°C 100.0%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$168,709 Vol.
$168,709 Vol.
17°C oder niedriger
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$168,709 Vol.
$168,709 Vol.
17°C oder niedriger
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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