Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 8?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,050 Vol.
$141,050 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,050 Vol.
$141,050 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 6, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen