Recent forecast guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to stable subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover driving Tel Aviv highs of 32–34°C on August 12, with residual warmth from late-July heat anomalies and elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures supporting the upper end of that range. These conditions align with the market’s strong weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes, above the typical mid-August climatological average of 30–32°C. Model consensus remains tight on minimal precipitation and light winds, though slight revisions in steering patterns could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated runs from regional meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data for any probability adjustments ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 12. August?
35°C 45%
34°C 39%
33°C 9%
36°C 7%
32°C oder weniger
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
39%
35°C
45%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
35°C 45%
34°C 39%
33°C 9%
36°C 7%
32°C oder weniger
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
39%
35°C
45%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to stable subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover driving Tel Aviv highs of 32–34°C on August 12, with residual warmth from late-July heat anomalies and elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures supporting the upper end of that range. These conditions align with the market’s strong weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes, above the typical mid-August climatological average of 30–32°C. Model consensus remains tight on minimal precipitation and light winds, though slight revisions in steering patterns could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated runs from regional meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data for any probability adjustments ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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