Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 3. Juni?
32°C 100.0%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,825 Vol.
$49,825 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
32°C 100.0%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,825 Vol.
$49,825 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on June 3 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible cloud cover, with real-time surface observations tracking directly toward this threshold. This alignment of model consensus and early-day readings underpins the market-implied 100% probability on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal deviation risk given the stable synoptic pattern. Minor shifts in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat effects remain the primary variables that could alter the recorded high before resolution, though current conditions indicate low likelihood of such changes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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