Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC currently project a daily high near 28–29°C in Zhengzhou on August 14 amid light rain, variable cloud cover, and northeasterly winds of 5–9 km/h. These conditions limit solar heating and convective activity, positioning 29°C as the most probable peak and driving the market’s 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C, but the present steering pattern and moisture reduce intensification potential compared with drier, clearer analogs. Updated model runs through early August 14 maintain this narrow range, with minimal spread among ensembles, reinforcing trader consensus around the 29°C threshold ahead of final observational resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 14. August?
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
63%
30°C
41%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
63%
30°C
41%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC currently project a daily high near 28–29°C in Zhengzhou on August 14 amid light rain, variable cloud cover, and northeasterly winds of 5–9 km/h. These conditions limit solar heating and convective activity, positioning 29°C as the most probable peak and driving the market’s 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 30–32°C, but the present steering pattern and moisture reduce intensification potential compared with drier, clearer analogs. Updated model runs through early August 14 maintain this narrow range, with minimal spread among ensembles, reinforcing trader consensus around the 29°C threshold ahead of final observational resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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