Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the likely peak in Zhengzhou today, driven by short-term forecast models showing partly cloudy skies and light variable winds that permit moderate afternoon heating. Regional pressure patterns and retreating rain bands have allowed clearer conditions to develop, pushing temperatures above the September climatological average high near 26–27°C. Key variables separating the tightly bunched 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes include the precise timing and extent of cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, along with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing. Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration station will determine resolution, with final readings typically reported by evening. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 22. September?
29°C 44%
28°C 35%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.8%
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
37%
29°C
39%
30°C
30%
31°C
6%
32°C oder höher
1%
29°C 44%
28°C 35%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.8%
22°C oder niedriger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
37%
29°C
39%
30°C
30%
31°C
6%
32°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the likely peak in Zhengzhou today, driven by short-term forecast models showing partly cloudy skies and light variable winds that permit moderate afternoon heating. Regional pressure patterns and retreating rain bands have allowed clearer conditions to develop, pushing temperatures above the September climatological average high near 26–27°C. Key variables separating the tightly bunched 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes include the precise timing and extent of cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, along with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing. Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration station will determine resolution, with final readings typically reported by evening. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen