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icon for How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

icon for How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

0 100.0%

1 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$5,900 Vol.

0 100.0%

1 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$5,900 Vol.

0

$1,875 Vol.

Yes

1

$986 Vol.

No

2

$722 Vol.

No

3

$597 Vol.

No

4

$563 Vol.

No

5

$638 Vol.

No

6+

$517 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 3, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 9, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader sentiment on major space weather events—defined by NOAA SWPC as G3+ geomagnetic storms, S3+ solar radiation storms, or R3+ radio blackouts—for May 3-9 remains tightly contested between zero (48%) and one (47.5%), reflecting subdued forecasts amid Solar Cycle 25's waning peak. Recent NOAA 3-day outlooks show quiet conditions with 50% odds for minor R1-R2 flares, just 10% for R3+, and no G2+ geomagnetic activity predicted beyond a possible Kp=5 (G2) peak on May 7 from a glancing CME around May 5. Late April featured isolated M-class flares and a G1 storm but no qualifiers, quieting active sunspot regions like AR4420. Swing factors include surprise X-class flares triggering R3+ blackouts or CME orientation upgrades; daily SWPC alerts and coronagraph imagery through May 9 will be pivotal for resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 3, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 9, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 3, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 9, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volumen
$5,900
Enddatum
9. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 3, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 9, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader sentiment on major space weather events—defined by NOAA SWPC as G3+ geomagnetic storms, S3+ solar radiation storms, or R3+ radio blackouts—for May 3-9 remains tightly contested between zero (48%) and one (47.5%), reflecting subdued forecasts amid Solar Cycle 25's waning peak. Recent NOAA 3-day outlooks show quiet conditions with 50% odds for minor R1-R2 flares, just 10% for R3+, and no G2+ geomagnetic activity predicted beyond a possible Kp=5 (G2) peak on May 7 from a glancing CME around May 5. Late April featured isolated M-class flares and a G1 storm but no qualifiers, quieting active sunspot regions like AR4420. Swing factors include surprise X-class flares triggering R3+ blackouts or CME orientation upgrades; daily SWPC alerts and coronagraph imagery through May 9 will be pivotal for resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 3, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 9, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 3, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 9, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volumen
$5,900
Enddatum
9. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Verwandte

icon for Wird die globale Temperatur im September 2026 zwischen 1,40ºC und 1,44ºC steigen?

Wird die globale Temperatur im September 2026 zwischen 1,40ºC und 1,44ºC steigen?

41%
Ja
icon for Wird weltweit bis zum 30. September ein Erdbeben der Stärke 6,5 oder mehr auftreten?

Wird weltweit bis zum 30. September ein Erdbeben der Stärke 6,5 oder mehr auftreten?

100%
Ja
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Wird es weltweit 0 Erdbeben mit einer Stärke von 6,5 oder mehr geben?

64%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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