US-Israeli military strikes in June 2025 and February-March 2026 damaged or destroyed key Iranian enrichment and weaponization sites including Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, trapping much of Iran's approximately 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding reaffirmed Tehran's commitment against developing nuclear weapons, while IAEA June 2026 reports noted limited verification access and no major program advances amid ongoing negotiations over enrichment limits and safeguards. These factors, combined with restricted inspector access and infrastructure setbacks, underpin trader consensus that weapon acquisition remains improbable before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$1,217,831 Vol.
$1,217,831 Vol.
Ja
$1,217,831 Vol.
$1,217,831 Vol.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Israeli military strikes in June 2025 and February-March 2026 damaged or destroyed key Iranian enrichment and weaponization sites including Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, trapping much of Iran's approximately 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding reaffirmed Tehran's commitment against developing nuclear weapons, while IAEA June 2026 reports noted limited verification access and no major program advances amid ongoing negotiations over enrichment limits and safeguards. These factors, combined with restricted inspector access and infrastructure setbacks, underpin trader consensus that weapon acquisition remains improbable before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen