Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI rising just 0.02% month-over-month, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for a print at or below 0.1%. This follows May’s 0.5% gain that pushed the year-over-year rate to 4.2%, its highest since April 2023, largely from energy prices elevated by geopolitical supply shocks. Traders appear to price in a rapid unwinding of those one-off energy effects alongside contained core pressures at 0.23% in the latest nowcast. Key upcoming catalysts include any June retail sales or producer-price data that could alter the trajectory ahead of the July 14 release. A sharper rebound in gasoline or shelter costs could still push the outcome above the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert≤0,1 % 100.0%
0,2 % <1%
0,3 % <1%
0,4 % <1%
$52,283 Vol.
$52,283 Vol.
15. Juli 2026
≤0,1 %
Ja
0,2 %
Nein
0,3 %
Nein
0,4 %
Nein
0,5 %
Nein
0,6 %
Nein
0,7 %
Nein
0,8 %
Nein
≥0,9 %
Nein
≤0,1 % 100.0%
0,2 % <1%
0,3 % <1%
0,4 % <1%
$52,283 Vol.
$52,283 Vol.
15. Juli 2026
≤0,1 %
$15,274 Vol.
Ja
0,2 %
$6,616 Vol.
Nein
0,3 %
$5,527 Vol.
Nein
0,4 %
$4,659 Vol.
Nein
0,5 %
$4,870 Vol.
Nein
0,6 %
$3,916 Vol.
Nein
0,7 %
$3,947 Vol.
Nein
0,8 %
$3,970 Vol.
Nein
≥0,9 %
$3,505 Vol.
Nein
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI rising just 0.02% month-over-month, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for a print at or below 0.1%. This follows May’s 0.5% gain that pushed the year-over-year rate to 4.2%, its highest since April 2023, largely from energy prices elevated by geopolitical supply shocks. Traders appear to price in a rapid unwinding of those one-off energy effects alongside contained core pressures at 0.23% in the latest nowcast. Key upcoming catalysts include any June retail sales or producer-price data that could alter the trajectory ahead of the July 14 release. A sharper rebound in gasoline or shelter costs could still push the outcome above the threshold.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ET
Volumen
$52,283Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI rising just 0.02% month-over-month, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for a print at or below 0.1%. This follows May’s 0.5% gain that pushed the year-over-year rate to 4.2%, its highest since April 2023, largely from energy prices elevated by geopolitical supply shocks. Traders appear to price in a rapid unwinding of those one-off energy effects alongside contained core pressures at 0.23% in the latest nowcast. Key upcoming catalysts include any June retail sales or producer-price data that could alter the trajectory ahead of the July 14 release. A sharper rebound in gasoline or shelter costs could still push the outcome above the threshold.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$52,283Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI rising just 0.02% month-over-month, underpinning the 92% market-implied odds for a print at or below 0.1%. This follows May’s 0.5% gain that pushed the year-over-year rate to 4.2%, its highest since April 2023, largely from energy prices elevated by geopolitical supply shocks. Traders appear to price in a rapid unwinding of those one-off energy effects alongside contained core pressures at 0.23% in the latest nowcast. Key upcoming catalysts include any June retail sales or producer-price data that could alter the trajectory ahead of the July 14 release. A sharper rebound in gasoline or shelter costs could still push the outcome above the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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