Recent acceleration in South Korea’s consumer prices to 3.2% year-over-year in June 2026—the highest reading since late 2023—combined with the Bank of Korea’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75% and its maintained 2.7% headline inflation projection for the year, has anchored trader consensus around the 2.7–2.9% outcome. Elevated energy costs, a weaker won, and lingering supply-side pressures continue to keep inflation above the 2% target despite easing oil prices later in the period, while fiscal stimulus and semiconductor export strength support demand-side risks. Official forecasts cluster near 2.6–2.7%, with core measures also revised higher, leaving the adjacent 2.4–2.6% band as the main alternative amid uncertainty over exchange rates and wage trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2,7 % bis 2,9 % 37.9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 % 26.4%
3,0 %+ 25%
2,1 % bis 2,3 % 11.6%
$21,229 Vol.
$21,229 Vol.
<1,5 %
1%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
2%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
2%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
12%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
26%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
38%
3,0 %+
25%
2,7 % bis 2,9 % 37.9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 % 26.4%
3,0 %+ 25%
2,1 % bis 2,3 % 11.6%
$21,229 Vol.
$21,229 Vol.
<1,5 %
1%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
2%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
2%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
12%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
26%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
38%
3,0 %+
25%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent acceleration in South Korea’s consumer prices to 3.2% year-over-year in June 2026—the highest reading since late 2023—combined with the Bank of Korea’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75% and its maintained 2.7% headline inflation projection for the year, has anchored trader consensus around the 2.7–2.9% outcome. Elevated energy costs, a weaker won, and lingering supply-side pressures continue to keep inflation above the 2% target despite easing oil prices later in the period, while fiscal stimulus and semiconductor export strength support demand-side risks. Official forecasts cluster near 2.6–2.7%, with core measures also revised higher, leaving the adjacent 2.4–2.6% band as the main alternative amid uncertainty over exchange rates and wage trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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