Recent August 2026 CPI data showing 3.1% year-over-year inflation—up from 2.8% in July and above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target—has anchored the 41.9% implied probability on a 3.0%+ annual outcome for 2026. Elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, base effects from prior telecom discounts, and accelerating core inflation at 3.4% reflect persistent cost and demand pressures amid semiconductor-driven GDP growth now projected near 3.3%. The BOK’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3.0% underscore concerns over financial stability and above-target readings, with September data due October 1 likely to clarify whether underlying trends sustain the higher band despite official 2.7% forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert3,0 %+ 41.9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 % 13.2%
2,1 % bis 2,3 % 8.9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 % 8.8%
$45,233 Vol.
$45,233 Vol.
<1,5 %
6%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
5%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
8%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
13%
3,0 %+
42%
3,0 %+ 41.9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 % 13.2%
2,1 % bis 2,3 % 8.9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 % 8.8%
$45,233 Vol.
$45,233 Vol.
<1,5 %
6%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
5%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
8%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
13%
3,0 %+
42%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August 2026 CPI data showing 3.1% year-over-year inflation—up from 2.8% in July and above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target—has anchored the 41.9% implied probability on a 3.0%+ annual outcome for 2026. Elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, base effects from prior telecom discounts, and accelerating core inflation at 3.4% reflect persistent cost and demand pressures amid semiconductor-driven GDP growth now projected near 3.3%. The BOK’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3.0% underscore concerns over financial stability and above-target readings, with September data due October 1 likely to clarify whether underlying trends sustain the higher band despite official 2.7% forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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