South Korea’s consumer price inflation has held above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target through mid-2026, with the August reading reaching 3.1% year-over-year—driven by elevated petroleum prices, a weak won, and base effects from prior telecom discounts—while core inflation (excluding food and energy) accelerated to 3.4%. These factors, alongside recovering consumption and housing-market pressures, have kept market-implied odds highest for a full-year 2026 average at or above 3.0%. The Bank of Korea has responded with back-to-back 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0% and now projects headline inflation near 2.7% for the year, with risks tilted toward persistence above target into 2027. Recent monthly prints near 3% and limited near-term cooling signals reinforce trader focus on the upper outcome range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert3,0 %+ 41.9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 % 12.8%
2,1 % bis 2,3 % 8.9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 % 8.8%
$45,163 Vol.
$45,163 Vol.
<1,5 %
5%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
5%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
9%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
13%
3,0 %+
42%
3,0 %+ 41.9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 % 12.8%
2,1 % bis 2,3 % 8.9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 % 8.8%
$45,163 Vol.
$45,163 Vol.
<1,5 %
5%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
5%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
9%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
13%
3,0 %+
42%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s consumer price inflation has held above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target through mid-2026, with the August reading reaching 3.1% year-over-year—driven by elevated petroleum prices, a weak won, and base effects from prior telecom discounts—while core inflation (excluding food and energy) accelerated to 3.4%. These factors, alongside recovering consumption and housing-market pressures, have kept market-implied odds highest for a full-year 2026 average at or above 3.0%. The Bank of Korea has responded with back-to-back 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0% and now projects headline inflation near 2.7% for the year, with risks tilted toward persistence above target into 2027. Recent monthly prints near 3% and limited near-term cooling signals reinforce trader focus on the upper outcome range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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