Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors César Dockweiler to win Bolivia's La Paz mayoral election, pricing him at 58.5% implied probability amid strong polling leads for his SOMOS party amid anti-MAS sentiment. Recent surveys, including a November 2024 poll from Ciesmori showing Dockweiler at 42% support versus Miguel Roca's 18% for MAS, underscore his dominance, fueled by voter frustration over municipal governance issues like security and infrastructure. Roca's 13.1% reflects MAS infighting, while Waldo Albarracín's 5.7% draws from centrist voters. A key recent catalyst: Dockweiler's viral debate performance criticizing incumbent failures, widening his lead; the March 2025 first-round vote looms as the next market mover.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertBürgermeisterwahl in La Paz (Bolivien)
Bürgermeisterwahl in La Paz (Bolivien)
César Dockweiler 57.9%
Miguel Roca 13.2%
Waldo Albarracín 5.7%
Xavier Iturralde 4.9%
$1,701,594 Vol.
$1,701,594 Vol.

César Dockweiler
58%

Miguel Roca
13%

Waldo Albarracín
6%

Xavier Iturralde
5%

Iván Arias
4%

Jhonny Plata
3%

Carlos Eduardo Palenque
2%

Rodrigo Rivera
2%

Óscar Sogliano
2%

Alejandro Reyes
1%

Paul Coca
1%

Pierre Chain
<1%
César Dockweiler 57.9%
Miguel Roca 13.2%
Waldo Albarracín 5.7%
Xavier Iturralde 4.9%
$1,701,594 Vol.
$1,701,594 Vol.

César Dockweiler
58%

Miguel Roca
13%

Waldo Albarracín
6%

Xavier Iturralde
5%

Iván Arias
4%

Jhonny Plata
3%

Carlos Eduardo Palenque
2%

Rodrigo Rivera
2%

Óscar Sogliano
2%

Alejandro Reyes
1%

Paul Coca
1%

Pierre Chain
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors César Dockweiler to win Bolivia's La Paz mayoral election, pricing him at 58.5% implied probability amid strong polling leads for his SOMOS party amid anti-MAS sentiment. Recent surveys, including a November 2024 poll from Ciesmori showing Dockweiler at 42% support versus Miguel Roca's 18% for MAS, underscore his dominance, fueled by voter frustration over municipal governance issues like security and infrastructure. Roca's 13.1% reflects MAS infighting, while Waldo Albarracín's 5.7% draws from centrist voters. A key recent catalyst: Dockweiler's viral debate performance criticizing incumbent failures, widening his lead; the March 2025 first-round vote looms as the next market mover.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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