Current forecasts from multiple models show Ankara's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 12–15°C amid a passing frontal system with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Variable cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant factors, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast or rainy conditions tends to support higher minima near 13–14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 10–11°C. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects modest uncertainty in exact rain onset and wind patterns, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 22. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 22. September?
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 38%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
7%
9°C
11%
10°C
30%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
38%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C
7%
18°C oder höher
4%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 38%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
7%
9°C
$0 Vol.
11%
10°C
$33 Vol.
30%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models show Ankara's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 12–15°C amid a passing frontal system with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Variable cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant factors, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast or rainy conditions tends to support higher minima near 13–14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 10–11°C. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects modest uncertainty in exact rain onset and wind patterns, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$33Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models show Ankara's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 12–15°C amid a passing frontal system with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Variable cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant factors, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast or rainy conditions tends to support higher minima near 13–14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 10–11°C. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects modest uncertainty in exact rain onset and wind patterns, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models show Ankara's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 12–15°C amid a passing frontal system with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Variable cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant factors, as reduced radiative cooling under overcast or rainy conditions tends to support higher minima near 13–14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 10–11°C. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects modest uncertainty in exact rain onset and wind patterns, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 10–13°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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