Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions for Beijing on September 21, supporting a minimum temperature near 17°C driven by radiative cooling under light southerly winds and low humidity overnight. Recent above-average warmth through mid-September has delayed the seasonal drop, but the approaching autumnal equinox and stabilizing high pressure favor typical early-fall nocturnal lows in the mid-teens Celsius rather than extremes. Model consensus shows limited spread on the overnight minimum, with any variance tied to exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter heat retention. Updated CMA guidance and next ensemble runs will refine resolution criteria for the 13°C threshold or higher readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 21. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 21. September?
13°C oder niedriger 100%
23°C oder höher 98%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
13°C oder niedriger
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C oder höher
98%
13°C oder niedriger 100%
23°C oder höher 98%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
13°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions for Beijing on September 21, supporting a minimum temperature near 17°C driven by radiative cooling under light southerly winds and low humidity overnight. Recent above-average warmth through mid-September has delayed the seasonal drop, but the approaching autumnal equinox and stabilizing high pressure favor typical early-fall nocturnal lows in the mid-teens Celsius rather than extremes. Model consensus shows limited spread on the overnight minimum, with any variance tied to exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter heat retention. Updated CMA guidance and next ensemble runs will refine resolution criteria for the 13°C threshold or higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions for Beijing on September 21, supporting a minimum temperature near 17°C driven by radiative cooling under light southerly winds and low humidity overnight. Recent above-average warmth through mid-September has delayed the seasonal drop, but the approaching autumnal equinox and stabilizing high pressure favor typical early-fall nocturnal lows in the mid-teens Celsius rather than extremes. Model consensus shows limited spread on the overnight minimum, with any variance tied to exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter heat retention. Updated CMA guidance and next ensemble runs will refine resolution criteria for the 13°C threshold or higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions for Beijing on September 21, supporting a minimum temperature near 17°C driven by radiative cooling under light southerly winds and low humidity overnight. Recent above-average warmth through mid-September has delayed the seasonal drop, but the approaching autumnal equinox and stabilizing high pressure favor typical early-fall nocturnal lows in the mid-teens Celsius rather than extremes. Model consensus shows limited spread on the overnight minimum, with any variance tied to exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter heat retention. Updated CMA guidance and next ensemble runs will refine resolution criteria for the 13°C threshold or higher readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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