Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies converge on an overnight low near 24°C for Shanghai on September 19, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and mostly cloudy conditions without an approaching cold front or tropical system. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while the 23°C and 25°C bins at 22.5% and 20.0% reflect typical model spread in minimum temperature resolution. Recent mid-September observations show lows fluctuating between 19–24°C amid variable rainfall, but stable steering patterns and the absence of significant cooling or warming signals in the latest runs have kept higher probabilities clustered around the 23–25°C range rather than extremes like 19°C or below (23.5%) or 29°C or higher (26.0%). Updated guidance ahead of the date will further refine these trader-assessed odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 19. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 19. September?
24°C 43%
23°C 35%
19°C oder weniger 33%
22°C 27%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
33%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
35%
24°C
43%
25°C
21%
26°C
23%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C oder höher
17%
24°C 43%
23°C 35%
19°C oder weniger 33%
22°C 27%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
33%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$279 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies converge on an overnight low near 24°C for Shanghai on September 19, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and mostly cloudy conditions without an approaching cold front or tropical system. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while the 23°C and 25°C bins at 22.5% and 20.0% reflect typical model spread in minimum temperature resolution. Recent mid-September observations show lows fluctuating between 19–24°C amid variable rainfall, but stable steering patterns and the absence of significant cooling or warming signals in the latest runs have kept higher probabilities clustered around the 23–25°C range rather than extremes like 19°C or below (23.5%) or 29°C or higher (26.0%). Updated guidance ahead of the date will further refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$279Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies converge on an overnight low near 24°C for Shanghai on September 19, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and mostly cloudy conditions without an approaching cold front or tropical system. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while the 23°C and 25°C bins at 22.5% and 20.0% reflect typical model spread in minimum temperature resolution. Recent mid-September observations show lows fluctuating between 19–24°C amid variable rainfall, but stable steering patterns and the absence of significant cooling or warming signals in the latest runs have kept higher probabilities clustered around the 23–25°C range rather than extremes like 19°C or below (23.5%) or 29°C or higher (26.0%). Updated guidance ahead of the date will further refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$279Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies converge on an overnight low near 24°C for Shanghai on September 19, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity, and mostly cloudy conditions without an approaching cold front or tropical system. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while the 23°C and 25°C bins at 22.5% and 20.0% reflect typical model spread in minimum temperature resolution. Recent mid-September observations show lows fluctuating between 19–24°C amid variable rainfall, but stable steering patterns and the absence of significant cooling or warming signals in the latest runs have kept higher probabilities clustered around the 23–25°C range rather than extremes like 19°C or below (23.5%) or 29°C or higher (26.0%). Updated guidance ahead of the date will further refine these trader-assessed odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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