Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models indicate a likely minimum of 18–21°C in Beijing on September 24 amid light rain transitioning to overcast skies and a shift to northerly winds. This aligns with seasonal cooling trends as autumn advances, with daytime highs near 26–27°C and potential for slightly lower readings if precipitation timing or stronger cold-air advection occurs. Historical September averages place typical lows around 14°C, but current model consensus and recent observations of moderating southerly flow support the near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact overnight cooling rates under variable cloud cover. Updated NMC guidance on September 23 will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 24. September?
13°C oder niedriger 100%
23°C oder höher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
13°C oder niedriger
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C oder höher
98%
13°C oder niedriger 100%
23°C oder höher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
13°C oder niedriger
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models indicate a likely minimum of 18–21°C in Beijing on September 24 amid light rain transitioning to overcast skies and a shift to northerly winds. This aligns with seasonal cooling trends as autumn advances, with daytime highs near 26–27°C and potential for slightly lower readings if precipitation timing or stronger cold-air advection occurs. Historical September averages place typical lows around 14°C, but current model consensus and recent observations of moderating southerly flow support the near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact overnight cooling rates under variable cloud cover. Updated NMC guidance on September 23 will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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