**Clear skies, moderate southeast winds, and dry air under high pressure are shaping trader expectations for Cape Town’s September 18 minimum temperature near 10–11 °C.** Official forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and airport observations, indicate the overnight low will settle around 12 °C after daytime highs near 19–20 °C, with surface temperatures already at 13–15 °C by early morning under mostly clear conditions. Stronger-than-usual southeasterly flow (15–25 mph with gusts) limits radiative cooling by promoting mixing, while dew points near 5–10 °C cap how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September minima average about 10 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 10–11 °C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind timing create the narrow gap between those two outcomes. No major weather shifts or data revisions have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter the consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 18. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 18. September?
10°C 100%
6°C oder darunter 90%
9°C 90%
7°C 17%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
6°C oder darunter
90%
7°C
17%
8°C
17%
9°C
90%
10°C
100%
11°C
54%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
10°C 100%
6°C oder darunter 90%
9°C 90%
7°C 17%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
6°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
90%
7°C
$0 Vol.
17%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9°C
$25 Vol.
90%
10°C
$25 Vol.
100%
11°C
$66 Vol.
54%
12°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
16°C oder höher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, moderate southeast winds, and dry air under high pressure are shaping trader expectations for Cape Town’s September 18 minimum temperature near 10–11 °C.** Official forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and airport observations, indicate the overnight low will settle around 12 °C after daytime highs near 19–20 °C, with surface temperatures already at 13–15 °C by early morning under mostly clear conditions.
Stronger-than-usual southeasterly flow (15–25 mph with gusts) limits radiative cooling by promoting mixing, while dew points near 5–10 °C cap how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September minima average about 10 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 10–11 °C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind timing create the narrow gap between those two outcomes. No major weather shifts or data revisions have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$555Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, moderate southeast winds, and dry air under high pressure are shaping trader expectations for Cape Town’s September 18 minimum temperature near 10–11 °C.** Official forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and airport observations, indicate the overnight low will settle around 12 °C after daytime highs near 19–20 °C, with surface temperatures already at 13–15 °C by early morning under mostly clear conditions.
Stronger-than-usual southeasterly flow (15–25 mph with gusts) limits radiative cooling by promoting mixing, while dew points near 5–10 °C cap how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September minima average about 10 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 10–11 °C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind timing create the narrow gap between those two outcomes. No major weather shifts or data revisions have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$555Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, moderate southeast winds, and dry air under high pressure are shaping trader expectations for Cape Town’s September 18 minimum temperature near 10–11 °C.** Official forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and airport observations, indicate the overnight low will settle around 12 °C after daytime highs near 19–20 °C, with surface temperatures already at 13–15 °C by early morning under mostly clear conditions. Stronger-than-usual southeasterly flow (15–25 mph with gusts) limits radiative cooling by promoting mixing, while dew points near 5–10 °C cap how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September minima average about 10 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 10–11 °C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind timing create the narrow gap between those two outcomes. No major weather shifts or data revisions have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter the consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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