Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 10. September?
20°C 93%
19°C oder niedriger 1.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$1,182 Vol.
$1,182 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
Nein
20°C
Ja
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
20°C 93%
19°C oder niedriger 1.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$1,182 Vol.
$1,182 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
Nein
20°C
Ja
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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