Recent forecast models indicate variable conditions for Warsaw on September 14, with daytime highs near 20°C and overnight lows projected around 13-15°C under light winds and a chance of showers. Cloud cover timing, precipitation duration, and radiative cooling rates under clearer skies versus insulation from overcast conditions are the main variables that could shift the daily minimum by several degrees. This genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 47.5% for both 9°C or below and 19°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 14. September?
9°C oder weniger 87%
19°C oder höher 87%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
9°C oder weniger
87%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
24%
15°C
10%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
37%
19°C oder höher
87%
9°C oder weniger 87%
19°C oder höher 87%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
9°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
87%
10°C
$40 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
24%
15°C
$54 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
37%
19°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate variable conditions for Warsaw on September 14, with daytime highs near 20°C and overnight lows projected around 13-15°C under light winds and a chance of showers. Cloud cover timing, precipitation duration, and radiative cooling rates under clearer skies versus insulation from overcast conditions are the main variables that could shift the daily minimum by several degrees. This genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 47.5% for both 9°C or below and 19°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$94Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate variable conditions for Warsaw on September 14, with daytime highs near 20°C and overnight lows projected around 13-15°C under light winds and a chance of showers. Cloud cover timing, precipitation duration, and radiative cooling rates under clearer skies versus insulation from overcast conditions are the main variables that could shift the daily minimum by several degrees. This genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 47.5% for both 9°C or below and 19°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$94Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate variable conditions for Warsaw on September 14, with daytime highs near 20°C and overnight lows projected around 13-15°C under light winds and a chance of showers. Cloud cover timing, precipitation duration, and radiative cooling rates under clearer skies versus insulation from overcast conditions are the main variables that could shift the daily minimum by several degrees. This genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 47.5% for both 9°C or below and 19°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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