**Current forecasts from numerical weather models position 10°C as the most likely minimum for Warsaw on September 12, 2026, with traders assigning it 69% implied probability.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure are allowing radiational cooling overnight, with official guidance and ensemble runs converging on lows of 10–12°C. Daytime observations reached 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms but setting up a moderate diurnal range. Recent model updates show limited spread, though slight revisions in dew point or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum. Higher outcomes above 11°C carry negligible market weight given the observed cooling trend, while sub-9°C scenarios remain low-probability outliers absent unexpected changes in steering flow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 12. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 12. September?
8°C 10%
9°C 2%
7°C oder darunter 1.0%
11°C <1%
$805 Vol.
$805 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
7°C oder darunter
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
17%
10°C
-
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C oder höher
<1%
8°C 10%
9°C 2%
7°C oder darunter 1.0%
11°C <1%
$805 Vol.
$805 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
7°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
1%
8°C
$0 Vol.
10%
9°C
$27 Vol.
17%
10°C
$137 Vol.
-
11°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
17°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from numerical weather models position 10°C as the most likely minimum for Warsaw on September 12, 2026, with traders assigning it 69% implied probability.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure are allowing radiational cooling overnight, with official guidance and ensemble runs converging on lows of 10–12°C. Daytime observations reached 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms but setting up a moderate diurnal range. Recent model updates show limited spread, though slight revisions in dew point or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum. Higher outcomes above 11°C carry negligible market weight given the observed cooling trend, while sub-9°C scenarios remain low-probability outliers absent unexpected changes in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$805Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from numerical weather models position 10°C as the most likely minimum for Warsaw on September 12, 2026, with traders assigning it 69% implied probability.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure are allowing radiational cooling overnight, with official guidance and ensemble runs converging on lows of 10–12°C. Daytime observations reached 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms but setting up a moderate diurnal range. Recent model updates show limited spread, though slight revisions in dew point or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum. Higher outcomes above 11°C carry negligible market weight given the observed cooling trend, while sub-9°C scenarios remain low-probability outliers absent unexpected changes in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$805Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from numerical weather models position 10°C as the most likely minimum for Warsaw on September 12, 2026, with traders assigning it 69% implied probability.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure are allowing radiational cooling overnight, with official guidance and ensemble runs converging on lows of 10–12°C. Daytime observations reached 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms but setting up a moderate diurnal range. Recent model updates show limited spread, though slight revisions in dew point or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum. Higher outcomes above 11°C carry negligible market weight given the observed cooling trend, while sub-9°C scenarios remain low-probability outliers absent unexpected changes in steering flow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen