Recent model consensus for Warsaw points to a daily minimum near 9–11°C on September 13, with ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–9°C. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, modest southwesterly flow, and the seasonal decline in solar heating after a relatively mild early-September period are the dominant physical factors. Historical climatology places the average September low near 10°C, but short-term variability from frontal passages or wind shifts can easily shift the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 13. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 13. September?
15°C oder höher 60%
5°C oder darunter 59%
13°C 38%
9°C 24%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
5°C oder darunter
59%
6°C
9%
7°C
31%
8°C
21%
9°C
24%
10°C
15%
11°C
12%
12°C
12%
13°C
38%
14°C
14%
15°C oder höher
60%
15°C oder höher 60%
5°C oder darunter 59%
13°C 38%
9°C 24%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
5°C oder darunter
$51 Vol.
59%
6°C
$58 Vol.
9%
7°C
$19 Vol.
31%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
24%
10°C
$0 Vol.
15%
11°C
$0 Vol.
12%
12°C
$0 Vol.
12%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C oder höher
$33 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Warsaw points to a daily minimum near 9–11°C on September 13, with ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–9°C. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, modest southwesterly flow, and the seasonal decline in solar heating after a relatively mild early-September period are the dominant physical factors. Historical climatology places the average September low near 10°C, but short-term variability from frontal passages or wind shifts can easily shift the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$161Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Warsaw points to a daily minimum near 9–11°C on September 13, with ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–9°C. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, modest southwesterly flow, and the seasonal decline in solar heating after a relatively mild early-September period are the dominant physical factors. Historical climatology places the average September low near 10°C, but short-term variability from frontal passages or wind shifts can easily shift the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$161Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Warsaw points to a daily minimum near 9–11°C on September 13, with ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–9°C. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, modest southwesterly flow, and the seasonal decline in solar heating after a relatively mild early-September period are the dominant physical factors. Historical climatology places the average September low near 10°C, but short-term variability from frontal passages or wind shifts can easily shift the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 12–18 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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