**Current forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability.** Short-range models from sources such as WeatherBug and Yr show overnight lows around 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 5–11 mph, following a period of showers on August 30–31 that may enhance radiative cooling. This setup matches the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 25.1°C for the date, while recent years have recorded minima of 23.9–25.6°C. Northerly flow is suppressing the typical moist southerly monsoon influence, limiting overnight cloud cover and supporting modest cooling relative to peak summer conditions. The secondary 30°C-or-higher outcome at 34.5% likely reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on exact wind strength and any lingering moisture, though most guidance points away from such warmth. Lower-probability cooler bins (23°C and below) remain possible only if clearer skies and stronger winds materialize overnight, but current observations and model runs favor the narrow range around 25°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 1. September?
30°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
5%
21°C
19%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
45%
26°C
27%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
20%
30°C or higher
69%
30°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
$319 Vol.
5%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$135 Vol.
20%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability.**
Short-range models from sources such as WeatherBug and Yr show overnight lows around 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 5–11 mph, following a period of showers on August 30–31 that may enhance radiative cooling. This setup matches the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 25.1°C for the date, while recent years have recorded minima of 23.9–25.6°C.
Northerly flow is suppressing the typical moist southerly monsoon influence, limiting overnight cloud cover and supporting modest cooling relative to peak summer conditions. The secondary 30°C-or-higher outcome at 34.5% likely reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on exact wind strength and any lingering moisture, though most guidance points away from such warmth.
Lower-probability cooler bins (23°C and below) remain possible only if clearer skies and stronger winds materialize overnight, but current observations and model runs favor the narrow range around 25°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$454Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability.**
Short-range models from sources such as WeatherBug and Yr show overnight lows around 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 5–11 mph, following a period of showers on August 30–31 that may enhance radiative cooling. This setup matches the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 25.1°C for the date, while recent years have recorded minima of 23.9–25.6°C.
Northerly flow is suppressing the typical moist southerly monsoon influence, limiting overnight cloud cover and supporting modest cooling relative to peak summer conditions. The secondary 30°C-or-higher outcome at 34.5% likely reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on exact wind strength and any lingering moisture, though most guidance points away from such warmth.
Lower-probability cooler bins (23°C and below) remain possible only if clearer skies and stronger winds materialize overnight, but current observations and model runs favor the narrow range around 25°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$454Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability.** Short-range models from sources such as WeatherBug and Yr show overnight lows around 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 5–11 mph, following a period of showers on August 30–31 that may enhance radiative cooling. This setup matches the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 25.1°C for the date, while recent years have recorded minima of 23.9–25.6°C. Northerly flow is suppressing the typical moist southerly monsoon influence, limiting overnight cloud cover and supporting modest cooling relative to peak summer conditions. The secondary 30°C-or-higher outcome at 34.5% likely reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on exact wind strength and any lingering moisture, though most guidance points away from such warmth. Lower-probability cooler bins (23°C and below) remain possible only if clearer skies and stronger winds materialize overnight, but current observations and model runs favor the narrow range around 25°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance heavily as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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