Recent forecasts from global models place Guangzhou's overnight low on September 13 near 25–26°C, aligning with the tightest market-implied odds and reflecting typical late-summer conditions under moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns and scattered showers expected overnight limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to the 24.4°C climatological average while steering patterns suppress stronger cold advection. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from local urban heat effects and exact precipitation timing, with official observations from the China Meteorological Administration serving as the resolution source. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against historical September lows that rarely dip below 22°C absent major frontal passages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 13. September?
25°C 45%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
28°C 39%
20°C oder weniger
7%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C oder höher
8%
25°C 45%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
28°C 39%
20°C oder weniger
7%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C oder höher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models place Guangzhou's overnight low on September 13 near 25–26°C, aligning with the tightest market-implied odds and reflecting typical late-summer conditions under moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns and scattered showers expected overnight limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to the 24.4°C climatological average while steering patterns suppress stronger cold advection. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from local urban heat effects and exact precipitation timing, with official observations from the China Meteorological Administration serving as the resolution source. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against historical September lows that rarely dip below 22°C absent major frontal passages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen