Recent forecast models from sources including Turkish meteorological services and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 26 near 21–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeast winds, and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, aligning closely with historical late-August baselines for the region. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds between 20°C and 25°C outcomes highlights remaining uncertainty in model runs and potential microscale variations at official measurement sites. Updated guidance from the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 26. August?
20°C 88%
25°C 88%
17°C or below 55%
27°C or higher 55%
17°C or below
55%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
88%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
50%
25°C
88%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
55%
20°C 88%
25°C 88%
17°C or below 55%
27°C or higher 55%
17°C or below
55%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
88%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
50%
25°C
88%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including Turkish meteorological services and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 26 near 21–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeast winds, and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, aligning closely with historical late-August baselines for the region. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds between 20°C and 25°C outcomes highlights remaining uncertainty in model runs and potential microscale variations at official measurement sites. Updated guidance from the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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