Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul near 17–20°C tonight, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure system that favors radiative cooling after sunset. Moderate northeasterly winds (around 10–20 km/h) limit excessive surface cooling while the nearby Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping values above seasonal extremes. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create tight uncertainty around the exact overnight low, with slight differences in cloud timing or wind mixing explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster so closely between 15°C and 21°C outcomes. Historical September minima average near 15–18°C, but current conditions favor the upper half of that range absent unexpected frontal activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 20. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 20. September?
15°C 99%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
18°C 91%
$227 Vol.
$227 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
87%
15°C
99%
16°C
98%
17°C
98%
18°C
91%
19°C
91%
20°C
51%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 99%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
18°C 91%
$227 Vol.
$227 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
87%
15°C
$0 Vol.
99%
16°C
$0 Vol.
98%
17°C
$0 Vol.
98%
18°C
$81 Vol.
91%
19°C
$53 Vol.
91%
20°C
$0 Vol.
51%
21°C
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul near 17–20°C tonight, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure system that favors radiative cooling after sunset. Moderate northeasterly winds (around 10–20 km/h) limit excessive surface cooling while the nearby Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping values above seasonal extremes. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create tight uncertainty around the exact overnight low, with slight differences in cloud timing or wind mixing explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster so closely between 15°C and 21°C outcomes. Historical September minima average near 15–18°C, but current conditions favor the upper half of that range absent unexpected frontal activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$227Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul near 17–20°C tonight, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure system that favors radiative cooling after sunset. Moderate northeasterly winds (around 10–20 km/h) limit excessive surface cooling while the nearby Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping values above seasonal extremes. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create tight uncertainty around the exact overnight low, with slight differences in cloud timing or wind mixing explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster so closely between 15°C and 21°C outcomes. Historical September minima average near 15–18°C, but current conditions favor the upper half of that range absent unexpected frontal activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$227Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul near 17–20°C tonight, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure system that favors radiative cooling after sunset. Moderate northeasterly winds (around 10–20 km/h) limit excessive surface cooling while the nearby Sea of Marmara provides a moderating marine influence, keeping values above seasonal extremes. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create tight uncertainty around the exact overnight low, with slight differences in cloud timing or wind mixing explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster so closely between 15°C and 21°C outcomes. Historical September minima average near 15–18°C, but current conditions favor the upper half of that range absent unexpected frontal activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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