Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 13. Juni?
13°C 100.0%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 Vol.
$15,645 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Ja
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
13°C 100.0%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 Vol.
$15,645 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Ja
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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