Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions over Metro Manila, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers forecast for September 8, are keeping overnight minimum temperatures tightly clustered around the historical September average of 25–26°C. Thick stratiform clouds reduce radiative cooling at night, while light to moderate westerly winds promote mixing that limits sharp drops, supporting the market’s near-even odds among 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C outcomes. Minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness introduce the narrow spread, with any clearer spell or heavier localized rain potentially shifting the observed low by 1°C either way before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 8. September?
26°C 50%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
25°C 33%
21°C oder niedriger
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
31%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
19%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
1%
26°C 50%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
25°C 33%
21°C oder niedriger
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
31%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
19%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions over Metro Manila, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers forecast for September 8, are keeping overnight minimum temperatures tightly clustered around the historical September average of 25–26°C. Thick stratiform clouds reduce radiative cooling at night, while light to moderate westerly winds promote mixing that limits sharp drops, supporting the market’s near-even odds among 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C outcomes. Minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness introduce the narrow spread, with any clearer spell or heavier localized rain potentially shifting the observed low by 1°C either way before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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