Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami on August 11 centers on overnight lows in the low 80s, reflecting persistent subtropical ridging, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of peak summer conditions. These factors keep minimum temperatures several degrees above long-term August averages near 77°F, with light easterly winds and scattered showers further moderating drops. Trader consensus around 80–83°F outcomes captures the narrow spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, where small timing shifts in convection or wind could tip the daily minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NWS briefings and late-model data tonight remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 11. August?
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 8%
71°F oder darunter
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
1%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 8%
71°F oder darunter
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami on August 11 centers on overnight lows in the low 80s, reflecting persistent subtropical ridging, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of peak summer conditions. These factors keep minimum temperatures several degrees above long-term August averages near 77°F, with light easterly winds and scattered showers further moderating drops. Trader consensus around 80–83°F outcomes captures the narrow spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, where small timing shifts in convection or wind could tip the daily minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NWS briefings and late-model data tonight remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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