Miami's early August climatology, driven by warm subtropical waters and high humidity, positions overnight lows in the upper 70s as the dominant outcome, with 78-79°F commanding 57% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a minimum near 79°F tonight under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with historical August averages of 78°F and rare dips below 76°F. Light steering winds and stable atmospheric conditions limit cooling potential, while sea-breeze effects moderate extremes. No recent cold fronts or atypical pressure patterns have altered this baseline, keeping 76-77°F at 29.5% as a secondary possibility only if stronger nocturnal radiational cooling develops.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 5. August?
78-79°F 58%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 6%
72-73°F <1%
67°F oder darunter
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
58%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
78-79°F 58%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 6%
72-73°F <1%
67°F oder darunter
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
58%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Miami's early August climatology, driven by warm subtropical waters and high humidity, positions overnight lows in the upper 70s as the dominant outcome, with 78-79°F commanding 57% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a minimum near 79°F tonight under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with historical August averages of 78°F and rare dips below 76°F. Light steering winds and stable atmospheric conditions limit cooling potential, while sea-breeze effects moderate extremes. No recent cold fronts or atypical pressure patterns have altered this baseline, keeping 76-77°F at 29.5% as a secondary possibility only if stronger nocturnal radiational cooling develops.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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