Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows holding in the upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent warm, humid air mass with high dew points that limit radiational cooling. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by sea-breeze convergence and weak steering flow, further suppress temperature drops. With an ongoing El Niño contributing to above-average Atlantic basin warmth and no strong cold fronts expected through early August, the market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–81 °F. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF shows minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures ahead of the August 6 resolution window, underscoring the narrow scientific spread among the leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 6. August?
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 10%
67°F oder darunter
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86°F oder höher
1%
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 10%
67°F oder darunter
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows holding in the upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent warm, humid air mass with high dew points that limit radiational cooling. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by sea-breeze convergence and weak steering flow, further suppress temperature drops. With an ongoing El Niño contributing to above-average Atlantic basin warmth and no strong cold fronts expected through early August, the market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–81 °F. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF shows minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures ahead of the August 6 resolution window, underscoring the narrow scientific spread among the leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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