Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely hold near 11–13°C under partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow at 6–11 m/s, limiting radiative cooling. Trader pricing around 8°C versus 5°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can suppress or enhance surface lows by 2–4°C relative to rural stations. Historical mid-September minima average near 8–9°C, but current warm advection from the south keeps probabilities balanced until final station readings confirm the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 20. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 20. September?
5°C oder niedriger 91%
7°C 90%
8°C 55%
6°C 18%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
5°C oder niedriger
91%
6°C
18%
7°C
90%
8°C
55%
9°C
2%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C oder höher
<1%
5°C oder niedriger 91%
7°C 90%
8°C 55%
6°C 18%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
5°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
91%
6°C
$0 Vol.
18%
7°C
$15 Vol.
90%
8°C
$0 Vol.
55%
9°C
$3,712 Vol.
2%
10°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely hold near 11–13°C under partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow at 6–11 m/s, limiting radiative cooling. Trader pricing around 8°C versus 5°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can suppress or enhance surface lows by 2–4°C relative to rural stations. Historical mid-September minima average near 8–9°C, but current warm advection from the south keeps probabilities balanced until final station readings confirm the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$4,258Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely hold near 11–13°C under partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow at 6–11 m/s, limiting radiative cooling. Trader pricing around 8°C versus 5°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can suppress or enhance surface lows by 2–4°C relative to rural stations. Historical mid-September minima average near 8–9°C, but current warm advection from the south keeps probabilities balanced until final station readings confirm the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,258Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely hold near 11–13°C under partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow at 6–11 m/s, limiting radiative cooling. Trader pricing around 8°C versus 5°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can suppress or enhance surface lows by 2–4°C relative to rural stations. Historical mid-September minima average near 8–9°C, but current warm advection from the south keeps probabilities balanced until final station readings confirm the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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