Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 22 will likely fall between 12–14°C amid southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers. This aligns with climatological norms for late September, where minimum temperatures average near 8–11°C but can vary several degrees based on frontal timing and radiative cooling under clear versus overcast skies. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to exact precipitation onset and wind shifts, which could either enhance or suppress the diurnal minimum. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 22. September?
17°C oder höher 95%
7°C oder darunter 94%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C oder darunter
94%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
27%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C oder höher
95%
17°C oder höher 95%
7°C oder darunter 94%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C oder darunter
94%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
27%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C oder höher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 22 will likely fall between 12–14°C amid southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers. This aligns with climatological norms for late September, where minimum temperatures average near 8–11°C but can vary several degrees based on frontal timing and radiative cooling under clear versus overcast skies. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to exact precipitation onset and wind shifts, which could either enhance or suppress the diurnal minimum. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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