Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 21 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by persistent southerly advection of milder air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Historical September averages near 7°C provide context, yet recent days have featured above-normal warmth from similar flow patterns. The closely matched market odds around 18°C+ versus 8°C or below reflect genuine forecast spread in minimum temperature timing and any localized cooling under clearer skies or brief showers. Official station observations will resolve the market based on the 24-hour minimum, with traders weighing model consensus against potential last-minute shifts in wind or cloud trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 21. September?
8°C oder darunter 87%
18°C oder höher 87%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
8°C oder darunter
87%
9°C
16%
10°C
18%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
18%
18°C oder höher
87%
8°C oder darunter 87%
18°C oder höher 87%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
8°C oder darunter
87%
9°C
16%
10°C
18%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
18%
18°C oder höher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 21 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by persistent southerly advection of milder air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Historical September averages near 7°C provide context, yet recent days have featured above-normal warmth from similar flow patterns. The closely matched market odds around 18°C+ versus 8°C or below reflect genuine forecast spread in minimum temperature timing and any localized cooling under clearer skies or brief showers. Official station observations will resolve the market based on the 24-hour minimum, with traders weighing model consensus against potential last-minute shifts in wind or cloud trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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