Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and GFS place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 2 near 12–14 °C, with spread across runs producing the balanced 50 % odds on 10–14 °C outcomes. Stable high pressure and light northwest winds favor clear skies and modest radiative cooling overnight, while dew points near 10–12 °C limit further drops. Historical climatology shows an average low of 12.1 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with norms yet retains typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Traders monitor the next DWD and ECMWF runs for any shift in the 0–6 UTC guidance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 2. September?
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
9°C or below
-
10°C
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
14%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
4%
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
9°C or below
-
10°C
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
14%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and GFS place Munich’s minimum temperature for September 2 near 12–14 °C, with spread across runs producing the balanced 50 % odds on 10–14 °C outcomes. Stable high pressure and light northwest winds favor clear skies and modest radiative cooling overnight, while dew points near 10–12 °C limit further drops. Historical climatology shows an average low of 12.1 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with norms yet retains typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Traders monitor the next DWD and ECMWF runs for any shift in the 0–6 UTC guidance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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