Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and international forecasts points to a minimum overnight temperature near 16°C in Paris on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions featuring northwest winds, moderate humidity, and a daily range from roughly 15–17°C at dawn to peaks near 23–25°C. Historical August lows average about 14°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including a stable high-pressure influence, have kept readings elevated. The market-implied 90.5% probability on 16°C reflects strong trader alignment with these verified observations and short-range model runs. A clear-sky shift or unexpected frontal passage could push readings to 15°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 21. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 21. August?
16°C 100.0%
11°C oder darunter <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$12,040 Vol.
$12,040 Vol.
21. Aug. 2026
11°C oder darunter
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Ja
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C oder höher
Nein
16°C 100.0%
11°C oder darunter <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$12,040 Vol.
$12,040 Vol.
21. Aug. 2026
11°C oder darunter
$755 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$724 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$1,045 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$2,548 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$1,905 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$1,671 Vol.
Ja
17°C
$1,617 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$913 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$291 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$291 Vol.
Nein
21°C oder höher
$281 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and international forecasts points to a minimum overnight temperature near 16°C in Paris on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions featuring northwest winds, moderate humidity, and a daily range from roughly 15–17°C at dawn to peaks near 23–25°C. Historical August lows average about 14°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including a stable high-pressure influence, have kept readings elevated. The market-implied 90.5% probability on 16°C reflects strong trader alignment with these verified observations and short-range model runs. A clear-sky shift or unexpected frontal passage could push readings to 15°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$12,040Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and international forecasts points to a minimum overnight temperature near 16°C in Paris on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions featuring northwest winds, moderate humidity, and a daily range from roughly 15–17°C at dawn to peaks near 23–25°C. Historical August lows average about 14°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including a stable high-pressure influence, have kept readings elevated. The market-implied 90.5% probability on 16°C reflects strong trader alignment with these verified observations and short-range model runs. A clear-sky shift or unexpected frontal passage could push readings to 15°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,040Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and international forecasts points to a minimum overnight temperature near 16°C in Paris on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions featuring northwest winds, moderate humidity, and a daily range from roughly 15–17°C at dawn to peaks near 23–25°C. Historical August lows average about 14°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including a stable high-pressure influence, have kept readings elevated. The market-implied 90.5% probability on 16°C reflects strong trader alignment with these verified observations and short-range model runs. A clear-sky shift or unexpected frontal passage could push readings to 15°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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