Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–14°C on August 24, driven by a shift to southeasterly winds advecting cooler, moister maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in dew-point forecasts, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Higher probabilities for 19°C+ reflect lingering uncertainty over localized urban warming or delayed cooling, while sub-12°C scenarios remain low-probability given current sea-level pressure gradients and climatological August minima near 12–15°C. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 24. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 24. August?
19°C oder höher 59%
13°C 33%
14°C 31%
12°C 29%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
9°C oder weniger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
25%
12°C
29%
13°C
33%
14°C
31%
15°C
28%
16°C
24%
17°C
1%
18°C
8%
19°C oder höher
59%
19°C oder höher 59%
13°C 33%
14°C 31%
12°C 29%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
9°C oder weniger
$65 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4 Vol.
25%
12°C
$3 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
33%
14°C
$0 Vol.
31%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$90 Vol.
1%
18°C
$55 Vol.
8%
19°C oder höher
$60 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–14°C on August 24, driven by a shift to southeasterly winds advecting cooler, moister maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in dew-point forecasts, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Higher probabilities for 19°C+ reflect lingering uncertainty over localized urban warming or delayed cooling, while sub-12°C scenarios remain low-probability given current sea-level pressure gradients and climatological August minima near 12–15°C. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$351Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–14°C on August 24, driven by a shift to southeasterly winds advecting cooler, moister maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in dew-point forecasts, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Higher probabilities for 19°C+ reflect lingering uncertainty over localized urban warming or delayed cooling, while sub-12°C scenarios remain low-probability given current sea-level pressure gradients and climatological August minima near 12–15°C. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$351Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–14°C on August 24, driven by a shift to southeasterly winds advecting cooler, moister maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in dew-point forecasts, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Higher probabilities for 19°C+ reflect lingering uncertainty over localized urban warming or delayed cooling, while sub-12°C scenarios remain low-probability given current sea-level pressure gradients and climatological August minima near 12–15°C. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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