**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 8 in the 24–27°C range under clearing skies following recent showers.** Subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly flow are expected to limit overnight cooling while daytime heating pushes highs into the low-to-mid 30s. Current conditions show elevated humidity and scattered rain on September 6–7, which may moderate the subsequent nighttime minimum depending on residual cloud cover and wind speed. Historical September lows in the region average near 25–26°C, placing the market’s clustered probabilities around 24–26°C in line with model consensus. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects; updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 8. September?
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
22°C oder weniger
35%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
27%
26°C
33%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
19%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
30%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
22°C oder weniger
35%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
27%
26°C
33%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
19%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
30%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 8 in the 24–27°C range under clearing skies following recent showers.** Subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly flow are expected to limit overnight cooling while daytime heating pushes highs into the low-to-mid 30s. Current conditions show elevated humidity and scattered rain on September 6–7, which may moderate the subsequent nighttime minimum depending on residual cloud cover and wind speed. Historical September lows in the region average near 25–26°C, placing the market’s clustered probabilities around 24–26°C in line with model consensus. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects; updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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