**Stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling moderate, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 23–25°C for Taipei on September 21.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) show partly cloudy skies, dew points around 21–23°C, and winds of 3–6 m/s that limit extreme cooling or warming. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 24°C, and current observations indicate no approaching fronts, typhoons, or anomalous moisture that would drive the minimum to 18°C or below or sustain it at 28°C or higher. The closely matched 47.5% probabilities on those extremes reflect trader emphasis on tail-risk model spread and urban heat-island variability, while mid-20s outcomes align with the consensus forecast and expected resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Taipeh am 21. September?
18°C oder weniger 100%
24°C 46%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
18°C oder weniger
100%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
36%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C oder höher
1%
18°C oder weniger 100%
24°C 46%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
18°C oder weniger
100%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
36%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling moderate, with forecast models converging on a minimum near 23–25°C for Taipei on September 21.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) show partly cloudy skies, dew points around 21–23°C, and winds of 3–6 m/s that limit extreme cooling or warming. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 24°C, and current observations indicate no approaching fronts, typhoons, or anomalous moisture that would drive the minimum to 18°C or below or sustain it at 28°C or higher. The closely matched 47.5% probabilities on those extremes reflect trader emphasis on tail-risk model spread and urban heat-island variability, while mid-20s outcomes align with the consensus forecast and expected resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen