Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 21 show overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C amid cloudy skies and a 40–60% chance of light rain or thunderstorms, driven by a moist northerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Multiple models converge on this range, with highs near 26–28°C and elevated humidity near 70–80%, creating tight market-implied odds near 50% for 20–22°C outcomes. Light winds and persistent cloud cover reduce the potential for sharper drops below 20°C, though minor model disagreements on precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and real-time observations through the evening will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or middle end of the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 21. September?
20°C 98%
18°C oder weniger 90%
21°C 50%
23°C 50%
18°C oder weniger
90%
19°C
18%
20°C
98%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 98%
18°C oder weniger 90%
21°C 50%
23°C 50%
18°C oder weniger
90%
19°C
18%
20°C
98%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 21 show overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C amid cloudy skies and a 40–60% chance of light rain or thunderstorms, driven by a moist northerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Multiple models converge on this range, with highs near 26–28°C and elevated humidity near 70–80%, creating tight market-implied odds near 50% for 20–22°C outcomes. Light winds and persistent cloud cover reduce the potential for sharper drops below 20°C, though minor model disagreements on precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and real-time observations through the evening will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or middle end of the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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