Republican incumbent Mike Carey holds a structural edge in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters due to its R+5 partisan voting index and history of Republican victories. Carey advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly secured his party’s nomination. These factors, combined with the general absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72.5% implied probability. The November 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific events to influence final margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOH-15 Wahlsieger
OH-15 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
73%
Demokratische Partei
27%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$1,679 Vol.
73%
Demokratische Partei
$3,041 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey holds a structural edge in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters due to its R+5 partisan voting index and history of Republican victories. Carey advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly secured his party’s nomination. These factors, combined with the general absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72.5% implied probability. The November 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific events to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$4,720Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey holds a structural edge in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters due to its R+5 partisan voting index and history of Republican victories. Carey advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly secured his party’s nomination. These factors, combined with the general absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72.5% implied probability. The November 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific events to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,720Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Carey holds a structural edge in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters due to its R+5 partisan voting index and history of Republican victories. Carey advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly secured his party’s nomination. These factors, combined with the general absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72.5% implied probability. The November 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific events to influence final margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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