Trader consensus on the low likelihood of Trump facing impeachment by the end of 2026 stems primarily from sustained Republican majorities in the House, where any articles of impeachment must originate. Historical patterns show intra-party impeachments remain rare absent broad bipartisan backing or acute crises. The November 2026 midterms introduce some uncertainty, yet even a potential Democratic House flip would still require Senate conviction by a two-thirds supermajority. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include major legislative realignments after the midterms combined with unforeseen developments such as significant scandals, though constitutional thresholds and party dynamics continue to constrain rapid action.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
2% Chance
$1,020,451 Vol.
$1,020,451 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
3.25 % verdienen
Ja
2% Chance
$1,020,451 Vol.
$1,020,451 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
3.25 % verdienen
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of Trump facing impeachment by the end of 2026 stems primarily from sustained Republican majorities in the House, where any articles of impeachment must originate. Historical patterns show intra-party impeachments remain rare absent broad bipartisan backing or acute crises. The November 2026 midterms introduce some uncertainty, yet even a potential Democratic House flip would still require Senate conviction by a two-thirds supermajority. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include major legislative realignments after the midterms combined with unforeseen developments such as significant scandals, though constitutional thresholds and party dynamics continue to constrain rapid action.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volumen
$1,020,451Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of Trump facing impeachment by the end of 2026 stems primarily from sustained Republican majorities in the House, where any articles of impeachment must originate. Historical patterns show intra-party impeachments remain rare absent broad bipartisan backing or acute crises. The November 2026 midterms introduce some uncertainty, yet even a potential Democratic House flip would still require Senate conviction by a two-thirds supermajority. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include major legislative realignments after the midterms combined with unforeseen developments such as significant scandals, though constitutional thresholds and party dynamics continue to constrain rapid action.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$1,020,451Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus on the low likelihood of Trump facing impeachment by the end of 2026 stems primarily from sustained Republican majorities in the House, where any articles of impeachment must originate. Historical patterns show intra-party impeachments remain rare absent broad bipartisan backing or acute crises. The November 2026 midterms introduce some uncertainty, yet even a potential Democratic House flip would still require Senate conviction by a two-thirds supermajority. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include major legislative realignments after the midterms combined with unforeseen developments such as significant scandals, though constitutional thresholds and party dynamics continue to constrain rapid action.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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