Republicans currently hold a narrow majority in the House through the end of the 119th Congress, making passage of articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority vote highly improbable absent broad bipartisan defections. No active floor proceedings or committee advancement of impeachment resolutions have occurred, consistent with historical patterns where the majority party rarely targets its own president. Democratic gains projected in the November 2026 midterms would shift control only in the 120th Congress beginning January 2027, after the market's December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Trader consensus at 98.2% for No reflects this institutional timeline and arithmetic. A late-session crisis fracturing Republican support or an unforeseen bipartisan trigger could theoretically alter the path, though both remain low-probability developments within the remaining window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
2% Chance
$1,020,779 Vol.
$1,020,779 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
3.25 % verdienen
Ja
2% Chance
$1,020,779 Vol.
$1,020,779 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
3.25 % verdienen
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republicans currently hold a narrow majority in the House through the end of the 119th Congress, making passage of articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority vote highly improbable absent broad bipartisan defections. No active floor proceedings or committee advancement of impeachment resolutions have occurred, consistent with historical patterns where the majority party rarely targets its own president. Democratic gains projected in the November 2026 midterms would shift control only in the 120th Congress beginning January 2027, after the market's December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Trader consensus at 98.2% for No reflects this institutional timeline and arithmetic. A late-session crisis fracturing Republican support or an unforeseen bipartisan trigger could theoretically alter the path, though both remain low-probability developments within the remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volumen
$1,020,779Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republicans currently hold a narrow majority in the House through the end of the 119th Congress, making passage of articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority vote highly improbable absent broad bipartisan defections. No active floor proceedings or committee advancement of impeachment resolutions have occurred, consistent with historical patterns where the majority party rarely targets its own president. Democratic gains projected in the November 2026 midterms would shift control only in the 120th Congress beginning January 2027, after the market's December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Trader consensus at 98.2% for No reflects this institutional timeline and arithmetic. A late-session crisis fracturing Republican support or an unforeseen bipartisan trigger could theoretically alter the path, though both remain low-probability developments within the remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$1,020,779Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...Republicans currently hold a narrow majority in the House through the end of the 119th Congress, making passage of articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority vote highly improbable absent broad bipartisan defections. No active floor proceedings or committee advancement of impeachment resolutions have occurred, consistent with historical patterns where the majority party rarely targets its own president. Democratic gains projected in the November 2026 midterms would shift control only in the 120th Congress beginning January 2027, after the market's December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Trader consensus at 98.2% for No reflects this institutional timeline and arithmetic. A late-session crisis fracturing Republican support or an unforeseen bipartisan trigger could theoretically alter the path, though both remain low-probability developments within the remaining window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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