Market icon
Geopolitik·Iran

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Market icon
Geopolitik·Iran

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Apr. 15

Apr. 30

Apr. 15

Apr. 30

26% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
26% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Trump's use of "Praise be to Allah" occurred twice in early April amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions—first on Easter Sunday in a Truth Social post threatening strikes if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, and second around April 11 boasting of Iran's potential destruction following a U.S. pilot rescue operation. These isolated instances drew widespread attention and criticism for invoking Islamic phrasing in aggressive foreign policy rhetoric, but Trump has not repeated the phrase since, with no new escalations reported in the past four days. Traders' 73.5% implied probability on No reflects skepticism of recurrence by April 30 absent fresh provocations, such as diplomatic breakdowns or military actions, ahead of his Arizona TPUSA speech on April 17.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volumen
$4,569
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Trump's use of "Praise be to Allah" occurred twice in early April amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions—first on Easter Sunday in a Truth Social post threatening strikes if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, and second around April 11 boasting of Iran's potential destruction following a U.S. pilot rescue operation. These isolated instances drew widespread attention and criticism for invoking Islamic phrasing in aggressive foreign policy rhetoric, but Trump has not repeated the phrase since, with no new escalations reported in the past four days. Traders' 73.5% implied probability on No reflects skepticism of recurrence by April 30 absent fresh provocations, such as diplomatic breakdowns or military actions, ahead of his Arizona TPUSA speech on April 17.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volumen
$4,595
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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