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icon for Yoon vor 2027 aus der Haft entlassen?

Yoon vor 2027 aus der Haft entlassen?

icon for Yoon vor 2027 aus der Haft entlassen?

Yoon vor 2027 aus der Haft entlassen?

Dez. 31

Dez. 31

Ja

11% Chance
Polymarket

$143,156 Vol.

Ja

11% Chance
Polymarket

$143,156 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the December 2024 martial law declaration, with prosecutors previously seeking the death penalty in the Seoul Central District Court case. He has appealed the verdict to a specialized Seoul High Court panel handling rebellion matters, a process expected to extend well beyond the immediate term given the case's complexity and multiple concurrent trials. Additional April 2026 appeals court rulings added further prison time on related obstruction charges, also under review by higher courts. These confirmed convictions and the standard multi-stage appeals timeline in South Korea have shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability that Yoon will not be released before 2027, reflecting the low likelihood of swift reversal or bail in high-profile political cases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$143,156
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the December 2024 martial law declaration, with prosecutors previously seeking the death penalty in the Seoul Central District Court case. He has appealed the verdict to a specialized Seoul High Court panel handling rebellion matters, a process expected to extend well beyond the immediate term given the case's complexity and multiple concurrent trials. Additional April 2026 appeals court rulings added further prison time on related obstruction charges, also under review by higher courts. These confirmed convictions and the standard multi-stage appeals timeline in South Korea have shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability that Yoon will not be released before 2027, reflecting the low likelihood of swift reversal or bail in high-profile political cases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$143,156
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Yoon vor 2027 aus der Haft entlassen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Yoon vor 2027 aus der Haft?" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 11¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 11% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Yoon vor 2027 aus der Haft entlassen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $143.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 5, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Yoon vor 2027 aus der Haft entlassen?" ist „Yoon vor 2027 aus der Haft?" mit 11%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 11% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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