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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

GERB-SDS 94.6%

PP–DB 3.3%

PB 2.1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$58,327 Vol.

GERB-SDS 94.6%

PP–DB 3.3%

PB 2.1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$58,327 Vol.

Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

GERB-SDS

$24,898 Vol.

95%

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PP–DB

$7,974 Vol.

3%

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PB

$8,458 Vol.

2%

Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

DPS

$1,604 Vol.

<1%

Will Velichie (Velichie) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

Velichie

$2,145 Vol.

<1%

¿Quedará Revival (Vazrazhdane) en segundo lugar en las elecciones parlamentarias búlgaras de 2026? icon

Vazrazhdane

$2,132 Vol.

<1%

Will United Left (BSP) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

BSP

$2,002 Vol.

<1%

Will There is Such a People (ITN) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

ITN

$2,145 Vol.

<1%

Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

APS

$3,977 Vol.

<1%

Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

MECh

$2,992 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands polls at 30-33% ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—leaving center-right GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%, per recent CAM (April 3-14: PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and Sova Harris (early April: PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%) surveys. This positioning stems from PB's anti-oligarchy surge since its March launch, stable GERB support amid fragmentation, and intensified police raids on vote-buying that have not eroded its base. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at over 90%; realistic challenges include polling errors, low turnout favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or scandals impacting established parties before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$58,327
Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands polls at 30-33% ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—leaving center-right GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%, per recent CAM (April 3-14: PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and Sova Harris (early April: PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%) surveys. This positioning stems from PB's anti-oligarchy surge since its March launch, stable GERB support amid fragmentation, and intensified police raids on vote-buying that have not eroded its base. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at over 90%; realistic challenges include polling errors, low turnout favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or scandals impacting established parties before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$58,327
Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "GERB-SDS" con 95%, seguido de "PP–DB" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" ha generado $58.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" es "GERB-SDS" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "PP–DB" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.