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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California

Tom Steyer 69.5%

Katie Porter 10.0%

Matt Mahan 9%

Steve Hilton 5.9%

Polymarket

$10,431,649 Vol.

Tom Steyer 69.5%

Katie Porter 10.0%

Matt Mahan 9%

Steve Hilton 5.9%

Polymarket

$10,431,649 Vol.

Tom Steyer

$2,856,983 Vol.

70%

Katie Porter

$718,827 Vol.

10%

Matt Mahan

$284,029 Vol.

9%

Steve Hilton

$888,406 Vol.

6%

Chad Bianco

$802,583 Vol.

2%

Xavier Becerra

$452,562 Vol.

2%

Kamala Harris

$270,522 Vol.

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$167,740 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$205,061 Vol.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$140,326 Vol.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$320,953 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$205,813 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$581,905 Vol.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$362,607 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$199,680 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$225,238 Vol.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$268,143 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$283,434 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$219,644 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$224,343 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$231,932 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$295,001 Vol.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$225,928 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors billionaire Tom Steyer at 69.5% to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, driven by his self-funding advantage and the abrupt collapse of Rep. Eric Swalwell's campaign last weekend amid sexual misconduct allegations, which has funneled Democratic momentum his way in the fragmented top-two primary field ahead of June 2. Recent polls, including a SurveyUSA survey from April 8-10 showing Steyer at 21% and an Impact Research poll placing him second behind Republican Steve Hilton, underscore the crowded race where no candidate exceeds 25% support, heightening risks of a Republican advancing. Katie Porter's 10% and San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan's 8.5% reflect their grassroots fundraising and regional appeal, while Hilton's 5.9% highlights GOP viability in a state favoring Democrats. Late scandals or spending surges could shift dynamics before early voting.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$10,431,649
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors billionaire Tom Steyer at 69.5% to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, driven by his self-funding advantage and the abrupt collapse of Rep. Eric Swalwell's campaign last weekend amid sexual misconduct allegations, which has funneled Democratic momentum his way in the fragmented top-two primary field ahead of June 2. Recent polls, including a SurveyUSA survey from April 8-10 showing Steyer at 21% and an Impact Research poll placing him second behind Republican Steve Hilton, underscore the crowded race where no candidate exceeds 25% support, heightening risks of a Republican advancing. Katie Porter's 10% and San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan's 8.5% reflect their grassroots fundraising and regional appeal, while Hilton's 5.9% highlights GOP viability in a state favoring Democrats. Late scandals or spending surges could shift dynamics before early voting.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$10,431,649
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Steyer" con 70%, seguido de "Katie Porter" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" ha generado $10.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 9, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" es "Tom Steyer" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Katie Porter" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.